Your Brain in Uncertainty

“Who Knows What is Good and What is Bad?”
There is a well-known Taoist parable about a farmer whose life events are a perfect reminder of how unpredictable life can be. It reflects key Taoist principles such as non-attachment, acceptance of life’s flow, and the relativity of good and bad fortune.
One day, a farmer’s horse wins a race, bringing him fame and fortune. His neighbours celebrate, saying, “How wonderful!” But the farmer simply replies, “Who knows what is good and what is bad?”
Not long after, the horse is stolen. The neighbours lament his misfortune, but again, the farmer says, “Who knows what is good and what is bad?”
Days later, the horse returns, bringing with it a group of wild horses. The neighbours exclaim, “How lucky you are!” Yet the farmer remains calm: “Who knows what is good and what is bad?”
While taming the wild horses, the farmer’s son falls and breaks his leg. The neighbours sympathise, saying, “What a tragedy!” But the farmer replies once more, “Who knows what is good and what is bad?”
Later, war breaks out, and all able-bodied young men are called to fight, except for the farmer’s injured son. The neighbours now say, “How fortunate you are!” And still, the farmer responds, “Who knows what is good and what is bad?”
The story teaches us that life is unpredictable, and events that seem “good” or “bad” in the moment may carry unexpected consequences. We often rush to label our experiences, but what if we chose to simply let life unfold?
When we step back and trust the process, we allow ourselves to experience life with less judgement and more acceptance. Every moment has value – even those that feel difficult or unfair.
Next time something happens, pause and ask yourself: “Who knows what is good and what is bad?” You might just find peace in the uncertainty.
The Neuroscience Take on Uncertainty
The story of the farmer teaches us a profound truth: life’s events are rarely as straightforward as “good” or “bad.” Neuroscience supports this idea, showing how our brains respond to the unknown and how we can navigate uncertainty in a healthier, more balanced way.
When faced with uncertainty, our brains activate two key regions:
- The Amygdala, which signals danger, increasing stress hormones and making us feel anxious.
- The Prefrontal Cortex, which processes information and attempts to find logical solutions.
These two areas must work together, connected by the thalamus, which helps balance our emotional and rational responses. When they’re out of sync – for example, if our emotions overwhelm our reasoning – uncertainty can feel unbearable. But when they collaborate, we can approach the unknown with curiosity and confidence.
The Farmer’s Wisdom in Neuroscientific Terms
When the farmer says, “Who knows what is good and what is bad?”, he reflects a mindset that aligns with how we can train our brains to handle uncertainty. Instead of jumping to conclusions or labelling events too quickly, he lets life unfold without judgement. This approach reduces the brain’s stress response, calming the amygdala and allowing the prefrontal cortex to stay engaged in thoughtful exploration.
In neuroscience, this mirrors the concept of reframing uncertainty. When we stop seeing the unknown as a threat and start viewing it as an opportunity to learn or grow, we shift how our brain processes it. This mindset can help us:
- Reduce stress by removing the pressure to control every outcome.
- Stay curious, which engages logical thinking and problem-solving.
- Build resilience, creating neural pathways that make it easier to navigate uncertainty in the future.
Living the Lesson
Sometimes what seems like a disaster today could lead to an unexpected blessing tomorrow. Neuroscience reinforces this concept: our brains are wired to fear uncertainty, but with practice, we can shift our perspective and thrive in the unknown.
Next time life throws a curveball, instead of asking, “Why is this happening to me?” try asking:
- What can I learn from this?
- What possibilities might this create for the future?
By reframing uncertainty as an opportunity, we can quiet the voice of fear and trust the journey.
After all, who really knows what is good and what is bad? Life is a series of interconnected moments, and it’s often in hindsight that we see how the pieces fit together.
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